What Is The Statistical Probability That All Sightings Are False?--The Poll (Poll Only, Post On Thread Of Same Name)

[Guest]

Thought a poll to go with the thread might put some data on it. Vote away, but post on the thread, itself, so as not to derail it.

http://bigfootforums...ings-are-false/

Edited November 10, 2012 by Kings Canyon

[Guest Cowlitz2]

Does anyone know (a wild guess) how many sighting have been reported/recorded?

[Guest]

The same as any eyewitness in a crime. The reliability of witnesses is almost nil. Does not indicate they saw something, just the details are disputable.

[gigantor]

:lol:

A statistical probability cannot be obtained from a poll.

Edited November 10, 2012 by gigantor

[Guest]

But an opinion on what the probability is can be, and that can be just as telling

[gigantor]

True, but not with any measure of accuracy. It's just an opinion.

[Guest OntarioSquatch]

Richard Stubstad (r.i.p) was a statistician. He claimed there is a 98% chance Sasquatch do exist.

[Guest Cowlitz2]

I like what you say JohnC....that is where I was headed with the question.

[Guest]

Is it even possible to have a negative statistical probability?

The same as any eyewitness in a crime. The reliability of witnesses is almost nil.

Not so. The issue is a lot more complicated.

http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2011/01/110125092233.htm

[Guest]

I vote j (Or i if you prefer)

[Guest]

A lot of people on here have seen one. That throws 100% into the mix. That's better than any statistic. IMHO

[Guest]

Edit to keep comments off here.

Edited November 10, 2012 by madison5716

[Guest]

Gigantor,

It's not actually supposed to predict the probability, it's our opinion of the probability. Okay. the opinion of those who choose to vote and who hit the button they meant to click.

Lord, these nerdy types.........

[BobbyO]

That tells him KC..

I voted for exactly zero %

[VAfooter]

Does anyone know (a wild guess) how many sighting have been reported/recorded?

BFRO has over 36000 on file. Add all the other sites and research organizations and individuals, probably pushing 50000 or so. But remember, it is suspected that most incidents are not reported. Also, of the incidents reported, most are not published, at least based on the BFRO. They only have a few thousand publically listed in their database.