Jump to content

Leaderboard

Popular Content

Showing content with the highest reputation on 11/14/2016 in all areas

  1. It was clear here, too. This is no ordinary full moon. It's the largest in nearly 70 years. It's technically full tonight. Everyone should take the time, in the early evening, to step outside and take it in. It rises from the southeast.
    2 points
  2. I thought i'd get something going with regards to our wonderful Database (SSR) we're building and have been doing now for the best part of five years now. I wanted to share with you and give you an insight in to how i view the numbers, which is formed by my day job as a Sports Performance Analyst dealing with numbers and translating them in to plain English each and every day. Anyway, if anybody has any specific they want me to look in to and share, either geographical or regarding creature behaviour/description, just shout and i'll do my best to answer soon enough. Here's some tidbits anyway and i will add numbers that are relevant by month/season etc as we go along. Hope you enjoy, here's some random numbers that i thought were interesting. ==== The State of Illinois makes up 16% of all Actual Visual Sightings in the Database from the Fall over the last five years across the entire North American Continent (62). Of those Reports from IL, only one is from a part of the night when the Moon is visible. Where the last 10 years are concerned, the percentage of Reports from IL jumps to from 16% to 19% (a 19% increase) of all Actual Visual Sightings in the Database from the Fall over the last five years across the entire North American Continent (129) with an even number of Reports from parts of the nights when the moon is and isn't visible. ==== Not one Actual Visual Sighting Report from WA State in the last 10 years in the Fall has been from the time of a night when the Moon has been visible. In the 10 years prior to that, every single night report in Fall that was an Actual Visual Sighting was on a night when the moon was visible. ==== 52% of all #Missouri Non Visual Vocalization Reports are from Fall. Of those Reports, 91% come from hours of darkness. ==== For all you WA State year round field researchers, it should be noted that from the near 600 total reports we have for the State, 83% of all Knock Reports in the Fall at night have come at times of night when the moon is not visible. This compares to 44% in the Winter, 71% in the Spring and 51% in the Summer. ==== 32% of all Actual Visual Sighting Reports from across the North American Continent in November and December (241) have been from witnesses when driving. For WA State, that numbers rises to 46% For IL, that number drops to 21%. For MI that number rises to 38%. ==== November in Washington State. Of the eight Moon Phases, the Full Moon gives a 200% higher chance of a report than any other Moon Phase in the month of November where night time reports are concerned, based on the 44 reports we have in the database. The Full Moon Phase for this coming November is the 14th. ==== The Olympic Peninsula in WA. 70% of all Actual Visual Reports in the last 10 years are from Fall and Winter. ==== From the 42 Reports we have from Missouri in the last 10 years, 43% (18) have been in the Fall, with 92% coming in the hours of darkness and 83% of those night reports coming at times of the night when the Moon isn't visible. ==== In the last 5 years in WA State's South Cascades Geographical Zone, Pierce County has given us a total of 76% of all Fall Reports. The prior 5 years to that, Pierce County made up just 13% of all Fall Reports from the same Geographical Zone. That's a 485% (four hundred and eighty five) increase in Reports in the last 5 years. ==== We are currently averaging 4 Reports each Fall from Illinois in the last 10 years (39 in Total), and it should be noted that 67% of Fall reports from the last 3 years have come on nights with a Full Moon. Next Full Moon is November 14th. ==== In the month of October over the last 10 years in the State of WA, 93% of all hours of darkness Reports have come at times of the night when the Moon has not been visible. Interesting to note that even though that % is so high, no reports are from nights of the New Moon, the phase when the Moon would generally not be visible at all in hours of darkness. ==== WA State's stunning North Cascade Geographical Zone makes up a total of 19% of all of the State's 232 Actual Visual Reports throughout the Year. That number jumps to 25% for Fall Reports (a 32% increase), and 32% for Fall Reports in the last 10 years (a 68% increase). ==== Ohio : 141 Actual Visual Reports : 18 Reports of White/Grey/Yellow Animals (13%) 21 Reports of Black Animals (15%) 35 Reports of Brown Animals (25%) 14 Reports of Dark Brown Animals (10%) 19 Reports of Dark Animals (13%) 3 Reports of Cinnamon Animals (2%) 21% of all reports with no colour determined. ==== Focus on Illinois Actual Visual Sightings. Fall makes up 42% of all reports. October alone makes up 21% of all reports. When the Moon is visible, the consecutive Moon Phases of the First Quarter, Waxing Gibbous, Full Moon and Waning Gibbous make up 83% of all reports in the hours of darkness throughout Fall. That number with the same parameters as the above, rises to 86% for the month of October alone. ==== 95 Fall Reports in from WA State since the turn of the Century :35% coming from WA's South Cascades Geographical Zone. 34% coming from the Olympic Peninsula and Willapa Hills. 17% from the North Cascades.14% from Eastern WA. ==== Deep in to Fall now, we take a look at some of the more top heavy States where Reports are concerned and look at how Fall represents the Sighting %'s across North America. Washington : Total of 584 Reports Florida : Total of 130 Reports Michigan : Total of 189 Reports Illinois : Total of 209 Reports Interesting to note that where the Illinois Actual Visual Reports are concerned, the Full Moon Phase gives a 133% more probability of a Sighting than any other Moon Phase. Where Michigan Actual Visual Sighting Reports are concerned, it's a complete role reversal, with the New Moon Phase giving a 300% more probability of a Sighting than any other Moon Phase. Both States have October as their most common Month for Reports with these search parameters. ====
    1 point
  3. Yah, last night was spectacular for being outside and seeing clearly, no clouds helped. Every thing you stated in your initial OP concurred with my research. I have had the most amount of activity around the full moon in October. In Illinois it is a curious thing that so many visuals are occurring in the fall, makes me question whether that is hunting behavior ramping up, both human and Sasquatch, or something else. With leaves being more sparse, and cover limited, they have to be more wary and confined to night activity, though I think that is the case much of the time anyway. What always strikes me as curious is all the sightings near Seneca and LaSalle, it is like something is drawing them to that spot, Given my 300 mile radius that could account for several family groups overlapping into that area for something that is abundant at that time. I wonder if they eat Asian Carp, because that could be easy picking for them in certain shallow water areas. There is so much to learn just from the data, and I for one applaud such an effort of yours and the others. If it is a flesh and blood animal, it will show predictability, and everything I have seen seems to demonstrate that fact. One need only to look at the geographical data around sightings to realize very quickly that rivers and tributaries are key factors. That defies any random chance or hysteria.
    1 point
  4. Thanks Bobby. It seems to me they would be better off categorizing the experience (sightings, tracks, audio) rather than trying to qualify it. It still seems that your best bet for an experience percentage wise is to be in a car. That first report you posted a link to is interesting to me. When the investigator was with them they had something approach them within 100yds then silence, after playing a distressed fawn call. This was reminiscent of my experience last year when we were using cow elk calls and had something loudly approach us to within 80yds. The difference being it did two loud knocks before it got quiet.
    1 point
  5. Bobby, I sincerely respect you and any thoughts you have expressed on this forum. Without belaboring the point of this particular thread, I would like to ask you to consider if the following described events and decide if they may indicate anthropomorphous actions. A little over fifty years ago I bought six acres of land that had been untouched for the previous forty years. It was was such a jungle that a person could not walk through it. I spent over a year clearing enough of it with an ax, brush hook and chainsaw to build our house. After the house was built, we moved onto the land, but only about 1/4 of it was cleared, but I continued to work to clear more. Then a nephew who had enlisted in the Navy, asked that if he helped me, could we fence part of the land so that he could leave a beautiful red mare with us until he got out of service. I agreed, we fenced about three acres, he brought the mare over and left her, and he left for boot camp. The mare was very docile, behaved well around kids and content in her new "digs". When I worked to clear more ground in the fenced area she followed me to my work area every morning and stayed so close that I continually had to slap her and make her leave when I was using the work tools. Even the chainsaw motor running would not cause her to leave. It got to the point that while I was working, she would slip up behind me and suddenly place her nose against my back and lift her head, pushing me forward. Sometimes I would loose my balance. She became so pesky, I had to cut a long switch and keep it handy. I would swat her with it when she got too close, and shout for her to "Get out'a here". She obviously did not like to be ignored or chastised for messing with me. Very soon after I started using that long mulberry switch, I was working in a small creek bed, with the switch leaning against a tree behind me. I heard the clicking of her feet on the rocks in the creek, I turned to see her ****** the long switch in her mouth, and wheeled around and ran with it at top speed. She stopped about 50 yards away, and was throwing her head up and down while nickering loudly. When I started toward her she galloped off, with the switch in her mouth. I had to laugh, and went back to work. (I found the switch later; it was chewed and broken.) While using the chain saw two days in a row, she slipped in and picked up my ax by the handle and walked off with it. Both times she dropped it in the cleared area about 20 yards away. Both days, she stood over the ax, shaking her head and nickering to get my attention. I had begun to become amused at her antics until one cold morning she really made me angry. I had just bought a new hunting coat with a game pouch and elastic shotgun shell holders. I worked in the coat in the cold morning hours, but took it off about mid day and hung it over one of the barbed wire fence's "T" posts. While I was throwing cut brush on the burn pile, she slipped in behind me, grabbed the coat's collar and pulled the coat off the "T", ripping the seam apart between the collar and one sleeve by that action. I threw a cursing fit, and chased her, throwing anything I could find at her until she dropped the coat,. About and hour later I saw her walking so slowly toward me with her head down so low that thought she was hurt or sick. I watched her as she plodded to within a few feet of me. I walked to her to check her feet and legs, raising each of the ground for inspection. After I did, and saw no injury, she raised her head and looked directly at my face, then nodded her head a few times. That was what she always did when she wanted anyone to pet her or rub her head. To me, it seemed she was - in a horse's way, apologizing. I reacted to her tearing my coat in such a angry fashion, she realized she had gone over the line. I patted her and rubbed her neck, and she became her typical perky self. Although she would follow and hang around me while I was working, she quit her "horse playing" after the "coat" incident.
    1 point
This leaderboard is set to New York/GMT-05:00
×
×
  • Create New...